A potent winter storm system impacted portions of New Mexico on March 26, 2016, ending an extended stretch of very dry weather. Snowfall amounts of 3 to 9 inches were reported from the Sangre de Cristo Mountains eastward across the northeast plains. The MODIS and VIIRS satellite products proved useful for illustrating the extent of snow cover in both the daytime and nighttime scenes. The images below are graphical briefings posted to the NWS Albuquerque web page and shared via Twitter after this much needed snowfall event.
The cold air outbreak over the eastern United States had impacts far and wide, including the development of snow showers all the way into northern Alabama. However, between unseasonably low 850 mb temperatures and northwesterly flow, the outbreak also caused a semi-persistent band of snow to develop along the Tennessee River (downwind of a reservoir known as “Lake Wheeler”).
While most of the river-effect monitoring occurred with radar, the late-morning MODIS overpass captured one of the narrow river-effect bands (and did so more effectively than the lower-resolution GOES-East Imagery).
Snowfall reports from underneath the band have indicated 2 to 3 inches of snow, compared to the 1-2 inches reported with heavy or persistent snow showers elsewhere. Unfortunately, orbit timing and cloud cover have not allowed us to view the snow swath using the Snow-Cloud RGB. However, the Snow-Cloud RGB from the edge of this morning’s MODIS pass still illustrated the river-effect band persistence.
An image captured this morning by the MODIS Terra instrument shows an impressive cyclone off the eastern coast of the US. The image on the left shows the cyclone in SPoRT’s Air Mass RGB and the image on the right shows the 11.0 µm from Terra (from 8 February 2016 at 1427 UTC). The deep red color on the RGB shows the intrusion of ozone-rich stratospheric air, which is an indication of deformation zones, jet streaks, and potential vorticity anomalies associated with rapid cyclogenesis, which itself indicates strong winds at the surface. This RGB is also limb-corrected for cooling at the edges of the swath, so we can assume the cyclone in this imagery is every bit as intense as it looks.
The new generation of geostationary satellites being deployed globally, such as Himawari, MTG, and GOES-R, will allow us to observe imagery like the Air Mass RGB several times an hour, enabling us to watch the cyclogenesis as it happens.
An upper level low tracking over Arizona bought widespread rain and snow to New Mexico on January 13 and 14, 2015. For this post, we will focus on the area from west central to central New Mexico. A winter storm warning was issued for the higher terrain of western and central New Mexico with advisories posted for lower elevations. Originally, the Albuquerque Metro area zone was not included in the advisory, but on the afternoon of January 13th, the advisory was expanded to include the Albuquerque Metro area zone as snow was expected to impact the morning commute.
The image below shows the 6-h precipitation forecast for 06Z-12Z on 14 January from the 00Z run of the NAM12. Precipitation was forecast to focus on the area along and north of Interstate 40 from west of the Arizona border near Gallup, past Grants and just into Bernalillo County but west of Albuquerque, with another active area south of Albuquerque.
Several interesting features are illustrated in the next image – a comparison of the NESDIS Snow Fall Rate Product and 8-bit 0.5 Reflectivity from KABX near 09Z. The projections are slightly different, but the dashed line shows an area of somewhat enhanced snow fall rates from the NESDIS product and both Window Rock (KRQE) and Gallup (KGUP) are reporting snow. Note how the radar returns decrease in the same area, which is only covered by KABX. Extreme western New Mexico, including the Four Corners area, has poor radar coverage, with the 0.5 scan over 11,000 feet AGL at KGUP. To the east along I-40, Grants (KGNT) is not reporting precipitation, while Albuquerque is reporting rain. Thus, the SFR product appears to accurately define the area of snow, though reports for the area north of I-40 are difficult to obtain, especially during the overnight hours. By the afternoon, totals for the area along and north of I-40 ranged from 2 in to 12 in.
The MODIS-VIIRS Nighttime Microphysics image depicts both the enhanced mid level clouds associated with snow (orange to red) and the low clouds (light pink/light green) impacting other areas of western and central New Mexico.
Moving two and one half hours forward, another SFR/0.5Z comparison is shown below. Stations along Interstate 40 (KGUP and KGNT) are still reporting snow as are stations south of Albuquerque (KE80 and KONM), though snowfall coverage in the SFR product was reduced in both intensity and area. The radar image is focused on the greater Albuquerque area, or the locations within the white box on the SFR product. At this time, KABQ was reporting east winds gusting to 23kt. Gap winds through Tijeras Canyon (east of Albuquerque) have a downslope component of 1200 ft, often resulting in a snow-free zone around the Albuquerque metro area. The pink dashed line depicts the approximate edge of the precipitation-free area, with the beam blocked area also evident further to the east. For this area, the SFR product indicates snow to the west and south of Albuquerque, verifying the observations.
The east gap winds relaxed and snow soon moved into the Albuquerque Metro area, with snow reported at KABQ at 1209Z. By 1313Z, conditions deteriorated with visibility of one-quarter mile in snow, and the airport picked up a quick inch of snow in just over an hour, with 1-2 inch amounts elsewhere. Thus, the winter weather advisory for the Albuquerque zone verified, and impacts during the start of the morning commute period resulted in a 2-hour school delay.
In collaboration with the Geographic Information Network of Alaska (GINA) at the University of Alaska, NASA/SPoRT generates two VIIRS and MODIS microphysics satellite products for use by the National Weather Service in Alaska in assessing the presence of low stratus clouds: the RGB Night-Time Microphysics product, or simply NT Micro, and the 24-hour Microphysics product, or 24hr Micro. Being RGBs, these two products result from combining a number of satellite channels. Both RGBs use the 12.0-10.8 micron difference as the red channel, and both use the 10.8 micron signal as the blue channel. But the NT and 24hr Micro products diverge in what they use for the green channel: the NT Micro uses the classic 10.8-3.9 micron difference (the legacy “fog product” that has been employed by meteorologists for years), while the 24hr Micro uses a 10.8-8.7 micron difference. The motivation behind this divergence in approach is that the 8.7 micron channel is not affected by solar reflectance, while the 3.9 micron channel definitely is affected by solar reflectance. As a consequence, the NT Micro changes its appearance as night gives way to day and is not usable once the sun comes up, while the 24hr Micro provides a consistent depiction of the clouds both day and night.
Patchy low stratus clouds covered parts of southwestern Alaska on December 17, 2014. What follows are two animations taken from AWIPS at the NWS office in Fairbanks, Alaska that toggle images from around 15Z and 21Z, with the image near 15Z occurring during darkness and the image near 21Z occurring during the light of day. While there isn’t much sunshine in southwestern Alaska in December, there is still enough to cause trouble for the NT Micro with its reliance on the 3.9 micron wavelength in the green channel.
The top animation is a toggle of the NT Micro. Note how at 15Z, in darkness, the green-yellow colors indicate the low stratus in southwest Alaska. But at 21Z, in daylight, these same clouds appear pink despite the continued presence of the low clouds. Observations from the village of Sleetmute (METAR identifier PASL), Alaska are a case in point. The ceiling and visibility plots at a number of METAR sites are overlaid in light blue text, with Sleetmute plotted just northwest of the yellow zone number “152” at the center of the image. At 15Z Sleetmute has good visibility but a ceiling down at 500ft overcast. At 21Z Sleetmute still has good visibility, and the ceiling remains low, in this case at 400ft broken 1100ft overcast. That’s not much of a change in the METAR over this span of time despite the huge change in the appearance of the NT Micro product between 15Z and 21Z.
The bottom animation toggles the 24hr Micro over the same span of time, from 15Z to 21Z, and there isn’t much change in the appearance of the 24hr product from darkness to daylight. The deck of low clouds over southwest Alaska appears bright yellow in this product, day or night.
Every product has its strengths and weaknesses. At night the NT Micro shows more details and is perhaps preferable to the coarser looking 24hr Micro. But during the transition from darkness to daylight the NT Micro is not usable, while the 24hr Micro provides consistent imagery. The 24hr Micro product may prove increasingly useful in Alaska as the months progress and the long dark Alaskan winter gives way to a summer of almost continual daylight.
So, with the moon now passing into the waning crescent phase, the Day-Night Band imagery is less operationally useful, at least for the detection of fog and other lower level cloud types. That is, at least until the moon is back into the waxing gibbous phase. Nevertheless, when cirrus clouds aren’t present, the Nighttime Microphysics RGB has proven to be a very valuable tool for the detection of fog and other low-level clouds. Just this morning a forecaster at the Huntsville, AL WFO was able to use the imagery not only for the detection of fog, but also to aid in the issuance of a special weather statement about the fog. The image below valid at ~724 UTC (0224 am CDT) 17 Oct shows the fog (whitish-aqua colors) lying across the valley areas of NE Alabama and adjacent areas of southern Tennessee and NW Georgia.
Around the time of this image, the visibility in the foggy locations had decreased to ~1/4 – 1/2 SM or less. Notice the fog in the DeKalb Valley is fainter than the fog in areas to the north and west. Not only is the DeKalb Valley more narrow, but the fog was likely more shallow. This feature of the imagery can also help to guide forecasters in assessing the longevity of the fog once sunrise breaks. Over time, forecasters can develop a sense of pattern recognition with the varying degrees of color shading and tailor forecasts to better match the time of dissipation. In this case, the fog in the DeKalb Valley began to dissipate significantly by about 1430 UTC, while the deeper and more expansive fog to the north and west lasted about an hour longer.
From September 20 through September 23, 2014, the Ocean Prediction Center (OPC) was monitoring the development of the season’s first hurricane-force extratropical storm in the East Pacific. Models were suggesting a marginal hurricane-force wind event would unfold well west of the Pacific Northwest, near 140W longitude, north of 40N latitude. OPC is routinely using satellite data to monitor and forecast these strong ocean storms. On this particular event, OPC forecaster James Kells collaborated with Michael Rowland and David Kosier on if and when to pull the trigger on the hurricane-force warning.
The above animation shows the evolution of the hurricane-force low, with an eye-like feature evident near the end of the loop. By 1200 UTC on the 23rd, it was forecast to develop hurricane force winds (64 knots or greater) just west of Oregon near 140W. During the production of the 1200 UTC OPC Surface Analysis, there was question of whether or not the winds had reached hurricane force intensity. The ASCAT pass from ~0600 UTC showed a large area of 50-55 knot winds in the strong cold advection south of the low center, and the GFS model indicated that the system was still developing. The GFS 0-30m boundary layer winds also indicated a very small area with hurricane force intensity.
The 1130 UTC MODIS RGB Air Mass product was timelier, and it showed an area of downward momentum south of the low with the deep purple shading. The corresponding water vapor image was less clear with upper level moisture obscuring the downward motion just beneath it. In addition, there were no surface reports south of the low center as there were no buoys moored nor drifting in that vicinity. Furthermore, most ships were aware of the danger and navigated away from the region neglecting the possibility of a surface report in the area of question.
A cross-section of the 1200 UTC 09/23/14 GFS model potential temperature and dew point temperature was taken through the low center in order to analyze the depth of the stratospheric intrusion, and also to gauge the magnitude of the downward momentum. It showed a deep stratospheric intrusion to roughly 500 hPa, and it corroborated the strong downward momentum indicated by the imagery. The RGB Air Mass image showed the intensity of the downward momentum through the red/purple coloring and gave a good indication of the stronger winds aloft mixing down toward the surface. The imagery increased confidence with classifying the system as a hurricane force low.
~ Guest blogger, James Kells (OPC)